Category Archives: World events

Assessment of Mugabe

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Mugabe is history. ZANU PF is Mugabe fan club. miliyary and CIO onlt things tyat work. they get paid n time.

hithens – Mugabe turned into everything his enemies said he was.

born 1924

education

Married ghanean. pan Africanist.

battled smith.

ZANU v ZAPU.

pm then president.

success.

gurukhundi campaign.

knighthood.

despot from central casting.

preposterous cult of personality.

Hitler ten fold.

look East policy.

Little ground for optimism.

Emmerson mwanwaga.

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The military putsch in Zimbabwe.

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The Zimbabwean military has seized control of the country.

A few days ago the head of the army gave a speech calling for national unity. He denounced person unnamed who represented a threat to the country.

President Robert Gabriel Mugabe is an ailing 93 year old. Mr President has not been in the best of sorts for several years. He has regularly been seen ”resting his eyes” at international conferences. More than a few have speculated that the old boy is gaga.

There is succession fever. Speculation is rife as to whether he shall be succeeded by the vice-president or by the First Lady Grace Mugabe. The vice-president was dismissed some weeks ago and he too flight to South Africa.

Gucci Grace is unpopular due to her extravagant spending. It sticks in the craw that a soi-disant socialist should spend millions on haute couture while her people starve. Mugabe’s former secretary became his mistress. She bore him a child while the president was still married to his first wife. As a Christian this is regarded as immoral conduct.

The Zimbabwe Defence Forces are out on the streets. They have established control over key installations. They are providing security for the president. Is that not their job anyway? Why surround his house with tanks?

The military is the only thing that actually works in Zimbabwe besides the Central Intelligence Organisation  (CIO). The CIO were presumably in on the plot. If they had got wind of this conspiracy and not approved it they surely would have informed the president. The military and the CIO are the only people who get paid in time in this basket case country.

Why now? Mugabe dismissed his vice-president. The vice-president’s cronies in the army must want him for the top spot. He is an alter kampfer from the Bush War. There is another factor. Do the coupsters know something about R G Mugabe’s health that we do not? I don’t know but I think we should be told if Mugabe is on death’s door. Despite protestations om the even of his 90th birthday that he is ”as fit as a fiddle” it must be that the president is not long for this world. He has been abroad for medical treatment a few times this year. Perhaps the top brass want to ensure that there man makes it to the state house. They wish to secure his succession before Mugabe is called to his reward.

President Mugabe has turned a fine country into a terrible mess. By corruption, pillaging, suppressing free expression, unfair trial, police brutality, stuffed ballot boxes and murder he has wrecked the country. It is good that the stiff necked racism of Smith has been consigned to the lavatory. But Mugabe’s cackocracy has been even worse.

It is lugubrious to reflect that there is little hope on the horizon. The only two contenders for the highest office in the land are Gucci Grace and the vice-president. This is a power struggle in ZANU-PF. Mugabe was grooming G 40 t take over. This means the generation that was too young to fight against the Smith regime. There will be no real election. There is no prospect of a good leader taking over. The two candidates both came up through the ZANU-PF system. Both are complicit in crimes against humanity.

Is this not a military takeover? Why did the army deny an accusation that had not been put? Guilty conscience it seems. If it looks like an elephant, it walks like and elephant and it talks like an elephant  it is probably …

The army will probably keep Mugabe on as a puppet. The camarilla around him can wheel him out for photo opportunities sometimes. He has probably lost his mind. The president can be persuaded to sign whatever they put in front of him. They have control over him. Significantly, his wife has not been seen for some time. She is probably in luxurious detention.

This is like Indonesia 1967 but so far without the killing.

I wonder if it like the Kornilov coup. It is a coup against a non-coup. A general has used a bogus claim if a coupe to make a grab for power himself. That said it seems that the generals do not want the top spot for themselves. Mugabe will be the titular president even if the vice -president is now restored and becomes l’eminence grise.

The geriatric Mugabe will be a figurehead for military government. He has a semblance of legitimacy in the minds of many. Those who detest him are dead or have fled. Whether senile or not the president is not in control of the country. He may well not be in control of his faculties. The army could impanel a medical commission to judge the president unable to discharge his duties on medical grounds. He could thereby be deposed. I suspect they will not do that. It is more useful to have him as a marionette.

 

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Trump states that the Kremlin did not hack the Democratic National Committee.

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President Trump has been meeting President Putin lately. Trump stated that Putin felt ”very insulted” by the accusation that the Russian Government hacked into the DNC’s computers. It is lovely to see Trump being oh so sensitive. Trump would not want to hurt anyone’s feelings. Donald Trump is always so caring and never wants to upset anyone. He would never be rude to anyone. He would not stoke racial hatred or make vile sexual insults against female journalists who asked him some worthwhile questions.

Trump also said he believed the US intelligence community when it stated that it was probable that the DNC was hacked from Russia. I have no idea who hacked the DNC.

Trump said the DNC computer system could have been broken into by Russia or by a lot of other people. Someone else also uses this tactics – by coming up with a very long list of suspects. The idea is to put many false theories out there. It is a masquerade to sew confusion.

How can Trump believe the US intelligence community AND Putin? It shows Trump’s double think. The man is a total fool. He contradicts himself all the time. He is utterly despicable and a disgrace.

Trump denounced extremist Islam. Then he went to hug the King of Saudi Arabia who heads the most Islamic extremist government on earth. The Saudi Government has consistently supported ISIS. Trump wants ISIS to be annihilated yet he cosies up to ISIS;s sugar daddy. He rails against Iran which is a deadly foe of ISIS. Trump is clueless and completely mendacious.

It is nauseating that such a fool has his finger on the nuclear button. His is an emotionally incontinent child. At least the finger on the nuclear button is very, very small.

Whither Syria?

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Aleppo has fallen. This is a step forward for the Ba’athists. This is more of a psychological gain than a strategic one. ISIS, the FSA and others will fight on in the countryside.

The Ba’athists have slaughtered many civilians since they took over as attested to by the UN. Russia is blocking a French proposal to send UN observers to Aleppo. WHy? It can only be because Moscow does not want even more incontrovertible evidence that their client Assad is presiding over the mass murder of civilians.

I have said this for over 5 years. The Ba’athists will prevail. They now control the largest city in Syria. It may be years before they run the whole country. ISIS will be master of some of the eastern desert. Turcoman militias may run certain enclaves. The Kurdish separatists may rule their bailiwick.

The Russian ambassador to Turkey has been shot dead. The murder of a diplomat is never acceptable. International law has forbade it for centuries. Diplomats are there to negotiate and we cannot do this if diplomats are not safe to parley. Putin will go ape and send more men to Syria. No doubt he will accuse some on the Turkish Government of being in cahoots with the terrorists. This makes no sense since Turkey is being bombed by ISIS and Ankara;s policy towards Russia is one of rapprochement. But logic is never part of Putin’s explanation for things.

Russia, China, Iraq and Iran are all deeply committed to the Ba’athists. They do not give a damn about international law or human rights. They will back Dr Al Assad to the hilt. Western countries care about international law and human rights somewhat. They sometimes downplay wrongdoing by their allies. They are discomfited because they people they would like to win find themselves co operating with ISIS. This conflict will continue as long as outside forces fund and arm the belligerents. The protagonists on the rebel side receive succour from Saudi Arabia and other SUnni governments such as Qatar.

The Lebanese Civil War lasted 15 years. This conflict could rage on for that long too. The country could empty out more. Israel may back one side or other. I reckon this war will drag on for a further two years but not have a definite end. It will fizzle out rather than end with a formal agreement or surrender.

This blog would like to see a free Syria. That means on where every man and woman has the right to free expression, to vote in fair elections and to live free from fear. THE problem is all this is very unlikely to come about. It would be better if neither the Ba’athists nor ISIS existed. That being so the Ba’athists are the lesser of two evils. The word evil here is not used in a metaphorical sense or unthinkingly as part of a figure of speech. The Ba’ath Party really is hugely evil. I detest Assad bigly. His regime is so foul that it drove people of moderate opinion into the arms of ISIS. There are decent people on both sides. If they could negotiate a settlement that would be ideal. That shall not occur. Even if an agreement were reached ISIS would never accept it. Assad is forked tongued. He has broken every promise he ever made. There were countless vows to provide real reform. There were many broken ceasefires. His government lies endlessly about holding political prisoners, about holding free elections, about using torture on an industrial scale about the murder of civilians. Therefore he cannot be trusted. It is lugubrious to reflect that this thoroughly wicked and disingenuous man represents the better of the options open to Syria.