Will Corbyn remain Labour leader?

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Things are looking up for Labour. The Lib Dems are failing to make an impact. The Supreme Court ruling has slowed Brexit and thus the economy

Brexit will probably damage the economy in the short term. I say this as an ardent Brexiteer. The worst thing will be the doubt as to what is going to happen. As the economy tanks so does the government’s standing.

UKIP has probably passed its peak. This offers a chance to Labour. Labour was on the defensive in northern England due to UKIP. UKIP was never a significant threat to Labour in terms of seats. UKIP managed to take enough Labour votes there to let in a few Tories.

All this bodes well for Labour. The local elections are in May. Labour will probably pick up hundreds of seats.

The SNP’s popularity is slipping a little as it comes into mid term. There are green shoots for Labour in Scotland. However, Labour is still a long way off ruling the roost in Caledonia as it did from 1959 to 2007 in every single election.

Will there be another leadership challenge to Corbyn? There may well be next autumn. If enough progress is not made then people will sharpen their knives. He has been offered a golden opportunity. His polling figures are awful. He has made some daft policy announcements about scrapping the military. His one popular policy – following through on Brexit – is detested by much of his parliamentary party. Therefore he may yet be defenestrated.

 

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About Calers

Born Belfast 1971. I read history at Edinburgh. I did a Master's at UCL. I have semi-libertarian right wing opinions. I am married with a daughter and a son. I am allergic to cats. I am the falling hope of the not so stern and somewhat bending Tories. I am a legal beagle rather than and eagle. Big up the Commonwealth of Nations.

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